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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA


1. Angola (see Map 1 and Figure 3)
2. Benin/Ghana/Togo Region
3. Burkina Faso and Mauritania - Malian Refugees (see Map 3)
4. Burundi/Rwanda Situation (See Map 4 and Figure 3)
5. Central African Republic
6. Djibouti (see Map 6)
7. Ethiopia (see Map 7)
8. Kenya (see Map 8)
9. Liberia/Sierra Leone Region (see Map 9 a, b and Figure 3)
10. Mauritanian Refugees in Senegal (see Map 3)
11. Mozambique Region (see Map 11 and Figure 3)
12. Somalia (see Map 12 and Figure 3)
13. Sudan (see Map 13 and Figure 3)
14. Uganda (see Map 14)
15. Zaire (see Map 15)
16. Zambia

1. Angola (see Map 1 and Figure 3)

Angola - Trend in numbers of displaced/war affected. Shaded areas indicate those at heightened nutritional risk.

Since the signing of the Lusaka peace agreements in November 1994, security has largely remained stable in Angola allowing the opening up of new roads and an expansion of humanitarian assistance delivery. However, the use of these new routes has revealed populations in small villages and communes in urgent need of health care, food aid and basic household supplies. Moreover, many areas have remained inaccessible by road, and even by air, primarily for military reasons, so that large numbers of people still remain isolated.

A recent FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission concluded that 1,375,000 people will require emergency food aid from April 1996 to March 1997. This number included 804,000 war affected and displaced people, 100,000 returnees from neighbouring countries, 170,000 vulnerable persons, 301,000 disarmed and demobilised soldiers and 270,000 beneficiaries involved in rehabilitation activities. [FAO 23/05/96]. As the next planting season approaches, increased efforts are being made to resettle the internally displaced to allow this population an opportunity to re-establish agricultural production [DHA 07/05/96].

A recent assessment of the output of foodcrops in Angola projected an overall increase in production of 84% compared to last year due to a variety of factors including, the provision of seeds and tools, and adequate rainfall. However, there are wide regional disparities. For example, the harvest on the Central Planalto is not expected to provide for more than half subsistence needs [ICRC 30/05/96]. Overall, food security remains poor because of a lack of purchasing power, a lack of infrastructure, and the still restricted movement of traders [FAO 23/05/96].

Some recent population displacements have been noted, and appear to be related to theft and vandalism of crops. For example, in Benguela province, displaced people were arriving in Chongoroi, reportedly fleeing loss of crops, and newly displaced people arriving in Cutembo were reportedly in extremely vulnerable nutritional condition. Food aid has been delivered to these newly displaced people. Extensive vandalism against crops has also been reported in Malange [DHA 07/05/96, WFP 24/05/96].

Recent evidence in some areas points to a deteriorating nutritional and health situation. For example, a survey in Masseca, Kuando Kubango showed a relatively low level of wasting and/or oedema (4.5%), but a high (3.6%) level of severe wasting and/or oedema (see Annex I (la)). The survey team recommended targeted supplementary feeding to the most vulnerable groups in conjunction with an assessment of the crop situation as a basis for future seed and tool allocations [DHA 29/04/96].

In Jamba, Kuando Kubango, wasting and/or oedema was measured at 11.2% with 3.1 % severe wasting and/or oedema (see Annex I (1b)). Measures including supplementary, therapeutic and school feeding are being reinforced in response to these findings [DHA 29/04/96, 07/05/96, WFP 24/05/96].

A nutritional survey in Malange measured wasting and/or oedema at 8.1% with 1.1% severe wasting and/or oedema (see Annex I (1c)). This shows a marked deterioration in nutritional status compared to a survey carried out in October 1995 when wasting and/or oedema was measured at only 1.8%. This deterioration is largely attributed to destruction of up to 70% of crops by vandalism and the gradual reduction in food aid since January 1996 in response to prospects of a good harvest [CONCERN 25/04/96]. As a result of these findings, general rations of maize, pulses and oil will now be targeted between May and July to approximately 95,000 people including all those under 15 years of age, the elderly, the handicapped and other vulnerable groups [WFP 10/05/96].

There have also been reports of increasing numbers of malnourished people being seen in therapeutic feeding at Kuito hospital. This has been attributed to the poor harvest and sharp increases in food prices [WFP 07/06/96]. In contrast NGOs have closed down selective feeding centres in Huambo city due to evidence of improved nutritional conditions [DHA 27/05/96].

A nutritional survey in Golungo Alto, Kwanza Norte province found 6.8% wasting with 0.1% severe wasting (see Annex I (Id)). This shows substantial improvement compared to a survey conducted last October which found 20.4% wasting with 12% severe wasting [DHA 03/06/96].

High levels of wasting have recently been recorded amongst families of demobilised UNITA soldiers. In response to reports of malnutrition among family members of the quartered troops, nutritional assessments were undertaken in four of the quartering areas. The assessments showed levels of wasting and/or oedema ranging from 13.2% -20% with severe wasting and/or oedema varying from 1.4% - 8% (see Annex I (1e-h)). Selective feeding programmes are now being planned to improve overall food security of these families [DHA 29/04/96, 07/05/96]. The quartering process is likely to continue until October 1996 but food stocks are now reportedly inadequate to meet needs. Sugar is most urgently needed but stocks of beans and rice are also reportedly low [WFP 26/04/96]. Reports at the end of May indicate that the general ration has been doubled to address these nutritional problems [DHA 27/05/96].

In many areas such as Zaire province and Menongue, a continued lack of basic health services has been identified as a major factor contributing to persistent high levels of wasting. While substantive health interventions are being under-taken in many areas, e.g. immunisation campaigns in Malange, the urgent need to improve immunisation coverage and general health service provision is recognised in many areas of the country [DHA 22/04/96, UN-a Jan-Dec 96, WFP 12/04/96].

Overall, recent information points to an improvement in nutritional status in many accessible areas throughout Angola. Nevertheless, certain population groups have deteriorating nutritional status, and can be considered to be at moderate nutritional risk (category IIb in Table 1) probably due to crop losses and reductions in food distributions. Pockets of very high wasting, such as those revealed in the surveys in some of the quartering areas (category I in Table 1), are likely to exist in Angola.

How could external agencies help? There are still highly vulnerable populations in Angola and recent survey data suggest that in some areas nutritional status is deteriorating. Requests made to establish and reinforce relief activities, especially targeted feeding programmes and in some cases the reintroduction of a general rations, where vulnerable populations are identified, need support. At this point in time, the families of quartered soldiers are at substantial nutritional risk and stocks of sugar, rice and beans need to be replenished in order to continue feeding this population group.

The recently launched United Nations Consolidated Appeal for Angola identifies certain priority areas for strengthening relief and rehabilitation initiatives nationally. These include support to continue the rapid assessment of the nutritional status of newly accessible populations.

In line with priorities outlined in the April RNIS report, the following needs continue to be important:

· restoration of basic health services in newly accessible areas to provide preventive and basic curative measures, including immunisation;

· prevention and control of communicable diseases with emphasis on malaria, trypanosomiasis, meningitis and cholera;

· targeted feeding programmes have been extended recently to other areas where nutritional survey results have indicated a need. Further extensions are likely to be needed, requiring external resources;

· increased immunisation coverage was also highlighted in an earlier RNIS report. Final preparations are now being made to immunise over 80% of children and women of child bearing age in the newly accessible northern region.

2. Benin/Ghana/Togo Region

There are currently 106,800 assisted refugees in Benin/Ghana/Togo region, most of whom are of Togolese origin. The vast majority of this population left their country of origin in 1993 because of political disturbances and sought refuge in Benin and Ghana. Subsequent improvements in the political situation led to the spontaneous repatriation of most of these refugees. Organised repatriation of the remainder is now planned and it is hoped that this will be carried out in 1996.

Benin There remain 20,000 Togolese refuges in Benin, most of whom, it is expected, will opt for voluntary repatriation [UNHCR Apr 96].

Ghana There are approximately 71,000 Togolese refugees in Ghana, of whom 50,000 are expected to repatriate during 1996.

There are also 15,800 Liberian refugees in Ghana. The nutritional status of most of this population is reportedly adequate, including the 1,500 new arrivals who were refused disembarkation in several ports before arriving in Ghana [SCF 20/05/96].

Overall, the 106,800 refugees affected regionally are not currently considered to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1).

3. Burkina Faso and Mauritania - Malian Refugees (see Map 3)

There are approximately 57,500 assisted Malian refugees in Burkina Faso and Mauritania.

Burkina Faso This group of refugees are continuing to spontaneously repatriate and it is currently estimated that 27,000 refugees remain in the country.

Mauritania There are 30,500 Malian refugees remaining in Mauritania. Both spontaneous and organised repatriation of this population had been taking place, but has been put on hold during the hot then rainy seasons. This process is planned to restart in September with 16,000 people reportedly registered to repatriate [UNHCR 04/06/96].

Most recent nutritional data on this population (reported in RNIS #15) showed a worrying situation with 14.6% wasting and/or oedema being recorded. Since this survey, the general ration has been maintained at close to 2,000 kcals/person/day. Furthermore, the number of admissions to selective feeding programme centres remained stable during the month of April, although there are high default rates (68% at supplementary feeding centres) which are felt to partly reflect poor understanding on the part of carers of the need for regular attendance and surveillance [MDM 21/05/96].

Overall, the refugees in Burkina Faso are not currently considered to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1). The Malian refugees in Mauritania can be considered to be at moderate nutritional risk (category IIb in Table 1).

How could external agencies help? Pull general ration provision (noted as a priority in the April RNIS), has been maintained in recent weeks. However, there are high rates of default in selective feeding programmes.

4. Burundi/Rwanda Situation (See Map 4 and Figure 3)

Burundi/Rwanda Situation - Trend in numbers of refugees/displaced and proportion severely malnourished or at high nutritional risk (shaded area).

The total number of people affected by the regional emergency has remained virtually constant at about three million. Repatriation of Rwandan refugees is continuing at a very slow rate from Zaire and Tanzania, and both host governments are demonstrating increasing frustration with the lack of progress (i.e. the recent curtailment of economic activities in Zaire). The situation in Burundi has deteriorated significantly over the last few weeks, with insecurity spreading to almost every province of the country. As food and nutrition assessments are sporadic and dependant on the prevailing security situation, it is difficult to determine the effect of the insecurity on nutritional status of the population in Burundi.

Serious disruptions in the food supply to the region are anticipated between September and December 1996. Currently there are limited supplies of corn soya blend (CSB) for the general ration and vegetable oil is lacking in several locations due to sporadic supplies and transport problems.

Current estimates of affected populations by country of present residence are given in the box below:


Apr 95

Jul 95

Oct 95

Dec 95

Feb 96

Apr 96

Jun 96

Burundi

492,500

515,000

315,000

504,000

275,400

290,000

289,000

Rwanda

1,750,000

800,000

725,000

800,000

737,000

737,000

749,000

Tanzania

686,000

644,000

629,000

621,000

653,000

624,000

642,000

Zaire

1,130,900

1,202,200

1,158,000

1,146,000

1,211,000

1,166,000

1,419,000

Uganda

5,000

6,700

6,400

6,400

6,800

6,900

7,000

TOTAL

4,064,400

3,167,900

2,831,400

3,077,400

2,883,200

2,823,900

3,106,000


Burundi The security situation in Burundi, which was described as tense at the end of April, has deteriorated markedly since that time. Peace talks in continue to be held, but there is little or no progress toward ending the escalating violence in Burundi. The United Nations Secretary general has appealed to member nations to develop contingency plans for a standby force to intervene for humanitarian purposes, should the violence escalate further [DHA 17/05/96, KIN 26/04/96, 07/06/96, USAID 23/05/96].

Violent incidents including assassinations, attacks by armed rebels on military positions, and targeting of aid personnel, have been reported in almost all of the 15 provinces [IRIN 12/04/96, DHA 27/04/96]. One very serious incident involved the alleged massacre of 375 people, many of whom were women and children, in Bubanza Province; another involved the ambush and death of three ICRC workers in Cibitoke Province, while another reported massacre at the end of May where 50 people, mainly women and children, were killed in an IDP camp in Ruyige province. The violence has led to further large scale displacements and evacuation of many relief agency staff. The increasingly hazardous security conditions on the most important national routes and their frequent closures because of mines have seriously hampered movement of both staff and aid convoys [IRIN 3/05/96, 19/04/96, DHA 06/05/96, ICRC 04/06/96].

By mid-May an estimated 23,000 Burundi people had crossed into the Uvira camps in Zaire since the end of April fleeing the increasing violence in the country. A further 85 people per day were moving into Tanzania where numbers at transit centres were reportedly approaching capacity [WFP 17/05/96]. Numbers of internally displaced people are difficult to estimate as the situation remains so fluid. Also, many people flee their homes for only short periods of time. Best estimates are that there are 200,000 internally displaced people at any one time. There are approximately 89,000 Rwandan refugees in camps in northern Burundi [WFP 10/05/96].

The current crisis of security in the country is almost certainly affecting food availability because of transport constraints and the uncertainty of maintaining adequate relief staff in areas where violence is occurring. Over the last few months, lack of funding has been jeopardising continuation of WFP aircraft operations which have provided transport for the humanitarian community. This programme is vital as attacks on main roads are currently so frequent. Last minute donations will now enable the aircraft programme to continue for the next six months [IRIN 26/04/96, UNHCR 18/06/96].

Rwanda UNIMIR, whose mandate expired on the 8th of March, are to be replaced by a UN office which will be charged with helping to promote national reconciliation, strengthening the judicial system, facilitating the return of refugees and rehabilitating the country's infrastructure. Approximately 737,000 vulnerable people, including displaced and returnee populations, are expected to require assistance during the first half of 1996 [DHA 18/04/96, USAID 23/05/96].

The security situation in most of the country is calm, with the exception of the western prefectures where there continue to be serious incidents involving planned attacks by interhamwe militia and RPA forces and frequent land-mine detonations. Cross border incursions into western areas appear to have intensified and to be better organised. Furthermore, transport companies are increasingly reluctant to deliver food aid and monitoring and evaluation activities in the area have been curtailed as a result of the insecurity [ICRC 03/06/96, IRIN 26/04/96, WFP 26/04/96, 10/05/96].

According to a recent survey by WFP/FAO and the Ministry of Agriculture, the food security situation in Rwanda appears to be improving with only an estimated 10% of the population structurally vulnerable due in large measure to unequal land distribution [WFP 10/05/96]. The largest share of WFP food allocations are now made though food for work and income generating activities (69%) but there are still some targeted general ration deliveries to vulnerable groups [DHA 18/04/96].

Approximately 46,000 refugee returnees arrived between Jan-April 1996, with the majority from Burundi (20,000) and Zaire (18,941) [WFP 10/05/96]. The number of returnees fell dramatically during the month of March, with only 5,700 people arriving as opposed to 23,000 during February. Intimidation and propaganda in camps were reportedly major factors in discouraging return of refugees [DHA 18/04/96].

Approximately 12,000 refugees from the Masisi and Rutshuru area of Zaire are currently being assisted in camps but as many as 50,000 may have crossed the border into Rwanda [WFP 17/05/96, IRIN 26/04/96]. Anecdotal reports indicate “serious levels of malnutrition” amongst this recent wave of refugees [WFP 10/05/96]

Masisi Zone, Zaire In recent weeks, ethnic conflict in Masisi zone appears to have diminished in intensity partly due to depopulation and partly due to the presence of the Zairian military. Whole villages are reported to have emptied as civilians have fled towards Sake and Goma. However, the conflict between Rwandan Hutus and Zairian people now appears to have spread to Rutshuru zone in the East and is moving further south. ICRC estimate that 65,000 have been displaced from homes in Rutshuru since April and they are distributing non-food assistance to several thousand people [DHA 10/05/96, IRIN 19/04/96].

It is estimated that up to 200,000 people overall have now been displaced by the fighting and that there are at least 116,000 people being assisted in the area. It is probable that many thousands of unassisted people require aid but are inaccessible. Measles is reportedly at epidemic levels but given the current population flux, a vaccination campaign is not being considered at this time [DHA 10/05/96, WFP 03/05/96, 24/05/96].

There are many constraints affecting humanitarian operations in the region. The most significant are insecurity, continuous population movements, and the high degree of ethnic polarisation leading to accusations of ethnic bias against relief agencies seen to be assisting any particular population group. These problems are further compounded by poor quality roads in the area [DHA 10/05/96].

There are approximately 12,000 people who have crossed the border into Rwanda and are currently considered as refugees. A recent nutritional survey conducted in the camp showed 17% wasting and/or oedema with 7.4% severe wasting and/or oedema (see Annex I (4a)). Measles immunisation was begun as the refugees arrived, and the current coverage is estimated to be 90%. Selective feeding programmes are under way in the camp [MERLIN 02/06/96].

Goma, Zaire It is currently estimated that there are 723,000 Rwandan refugees in the refugee camps in the Goma area. The Zairian Prime Minister recently announced a new deadline of July 1996 for the repatriation of Rwandan refugees [WFP 12/04/96, 20/06/96].

A number of security incidents have been reported throughout the month of May including mine explosions near the airport and ambushing of vehicles. As a result some food distributions have been interrupted [WFP 07/06/96]. Conflict in the Rutshuru area is also threatening security around Katale camp and its extended delivery point. The enforcement of a ban on refugee economic activities has led to the arrest of several refugees who have breached the new regulations on work, and markets in all four camps are now closed [WFP 19/04/96].

Wood distribution in the camps continues to be insufficient and women are often seen to risk their lives in foraging for fuel supplies [WFP 12/04/96]. Firewood distribution in the camps is expected to fall dramatically in the coming weeks due to tribal fighting in the Rutshuru area [WFP 10/05/96].

Although there are no new nutritional data on this refugee population, the continued restriction on economic activities in conjunction with anecdotal reports of malnutrition related mortality in Mugunga camp [WFP 19/04/96] indicate that the nutritional situation of this refugee population may be deteriorating and needs to be closely monitored. Latest data on water availability in the Goma camps also indicates a worrying situation with less than 14 litres per person per day in all camps and less than 10 litres/person/day in Kibumba and Katale [UNHCR 07/04/96].

The availability of oil for general ration distributions is currently threatened by gaps in the food aid pipeline [WFP 19/04/96].

Bukavu, Zaire There are approximately 313,000 refugees in the camps in Bukavu. The general security situation around the camps is said to be tense [WFP 19/04/96].

Although the nutritional and health situation for the majority of refugees is described as satisfactory and the current ration is being maintained at 1600 kcals/person/day, the food and fuel supplies transport is difficult due to the continued border closure between Burundi and Zaire. Furthermore, due to programme restrictions imposed by the Zairian government, only limited essential services are being supplied to all camps. As a result, most camps are suffering from a lack of shelter [UNHCR 20/05/96, WFP 19/04/96, 26/04/96]. If this situation persists, the nutritional situation of this population may deteriorate.

Uvira, Zaire During May, Burundi refugees continued to arrive fleeing the escalation of violence back home. It is currently estimated that there are 183,000 refugees in the camps of whom 25,000 are recent new arrivals. Over 27,000 Burundian refugees arrived in Uvira camp in the first two weeks of May [WFP 10/05/96].

There are mixed reports on the health and nutrition status of the new arrivals. In some reports, new arrivals are said to be in reasonable health. Other reports indicate obvious signs of malnutrition among the new arrivals, especially among women and children [UNHCR 18/04/96, WFP 10/05/96, 17/05/96].

Surveys conducted in nine camps in March show levels of wasting of below 10% in all camps except Kagunga where 11 % wasting with 3.5% severe wasting was recorded (see Annex I (4b-j)). This compares with a level of 4.4% wasting recorded in October 1995 in the same camp. Apart from Kagunga, levels of wasting have risen slightly in only two camps since surveys under-taken at the end of 1995 and have diminished in the other six camps surveyed [UNHCR Mar 96]. Some further investigation into the reason for this atypical deterioration may be advisable.

The closure of the border with Burundi is having an adverse impact on supplies in Uvira. For example, transfer of salt and sugar from Bujumbura is currently more difficult because a more circuitous route must be used. There is also a shortage of diesel fuel that could affect the water supply as water pumps are diesel powered [DHA 15/05/96, WFP 26/04/96, 20/06/96].

Tanzania The number of refugees in Tanzania has been increasing steadily with the on-going influx of refugees from Burundi. Many of the new arrivals claim that the Burundian army are conducting operations against Hutus. Current estimates are that there are now 642,000 refugees in Tanzania but this number will need to be updated as the influx continues [WFP 17/05/96, 20/06/96].

A recent nutritional survey in Chabalisa camp II in Karagwe showed 2% wasting (see Annex I (4k)) [WFP 03/05/96]. The nutritional situation for refugees in the Ngara camps is also reportedly adequate and is largely attributed to maintenance of the 1900 kcal/person/day ration, in spite of periodic breaks in the food aid pipeline, and economic and agricultural activities of the refugees. The largest single source of income in the camps is said to come from those who work for international agencies [SCF 23/03/96, WFP 26/04/96].

However, a new government decree that refugees are no longer permitted to cultivate land or conduct business activities beyond a four kilometre radius of the camps will certainly reduce food security [WFP 26/04/96]. There is also continuing concern over the delivery of poor quality maize grain and the absence of mills in the Ngara region. Recommendations have been made to increase the quantity of beans in the general ration at the expense of maize grain and that, where possible, grain should be substituted with maize meal. Distribution of salt in the region has been very sporadic [UNHCR 10/04/96].

Uganda There is no reported change to the adequate nutritional situation of the approximately 7,000 Rwandan refugees in Uganda [UNHCR 23/05/96].

Overall, the nutritional status of the affected populations in Rwanda, Tanzania, and Goma and Bukavu, Zaire appears to be stable (category IIc in Table 1). However, the curtailment of refugee economic activity in Zaire and Tanzania will necessitate careful monitoring in order to determine whether this situation changes in the coming weeks. The refugees from the Masisi area in Rwanda are at high risk (category I in Table 1), and the affected populations in Burundi and in Masisi Zaire are likely to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIa in Table 1) due to escalating insecurity.

How could external agencies help? Pronounced shortfalls in food supply for the region are currently anticipated from September 1996. Food aid pledges are therefore urgently needed. As potential new food pledges will only arrive toward the end of the year, immediate cash donations to procure food in the region are required. Furthermore, exemption of humanitarian goods from the closure of the Burundi/Zaire border is important for the continued expeditious transfer of humanitarian aid from Bujumbura to Zaire. Some specific needs by country are highlighted below.

In Rwanda there continues to be a need (RNIS 15#) for nutritional surveys in western areas where insecurity may be adversely affecting food availability especially in areas to which refugees have returned.

In Zaire, needs include:

· additional cooking fuel distribution in the Goma camps;
· additional pledges of edible oil for the general ration for the Goma refugee population;
In Tanzania, lack of milling facilities for maize has been reported as a problem in the Ngara camps for the last two years, probably contributing to nutritional risk. Maize meal may have to be substituted for grain. The proportion of beans in the ration may also be too low.

The need for additional funding for aircraft deliveries in Burundi was highlighted in the last RNIS report as a problem. Funding has now been secured for the next six months. Other priorities identified previously such as regular nutritional surveys of IDP camp populations and increased coverage of selective feeding programmes in areas of insecurity, have not been achievable due to the marked increase in insecurity in recent weeks.

5. Central African Republic

There is a continuing influx of Sudanese refugees into the Central African Republic and it was recently estimated that there are just over 27,000 assisted Sudanese refugees in the country. There are also approximately 5,000 assisted Chadian refugees whose nutritional status is believed to be adequate [UNHCR 16/01/96].

6. Djibouti (see Map 6)

Repatriation of Ethiopian refugees is continuing from Djibouti, with almost 1,500 people returning in one week in March. Reports indicate that almost all of the remaining 2,500 refugees are now ready to repatriate [DHA Apr 96, UNHCR 96].

7. Ethiopia (see Map 7)

There are an estimated 376,000 refugees and internally displaced people in Ethiopia receiving food aid. This number is comprised of 275,000 Somali refugees in the east, 63,000 Sudanese refugees in the west, 18,000 Djibouti refugees, 9,000 Kenyan refugees and 11,000 internally displaced people. There are at least a further 35,000 unassisted refugees in Ethiopia. Reports of an influx of 10-15,000 refugees, mainly women and children, to the Asosa area as a result of fighting in southern Sudan have not been confirmed [DHA Apr 96].

There are no new nutritional data available for any of the refugee populations. The most recent information available (mid-1995) showed a variable nutritional situation with low to moderately high levels of wasting for the Somali refugees in the eastern camps and a generally adequate situation for the other refugee groups. It can be assumed that this situation has little changed. The last survey conducted on the internally displaced around Addis Ababa (January 1995) found very low levels of wasting of 3.2%. There are no indications that this situation has changed significantly [GOAL 31/05/96].

Overall, since no information to indicate that the situation has changed is available, it is assumed that the populations in Fugnido, Kebre Beyah, and Darwonaji remain at high risk (category I in Table 1) and the populations of Hartisheik, Teferiber, Daror and Aisha can be considered to remain at moderate risk (category IIb in Table 1). The remaining refugee populations are probably not at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1).

8. Kenya (see Map 8)

There are approximately 176,000 refugees remaining in Kenya, comprised of 125,000 Somali refugees, 45,000 Sudanese refugees and 6,000 Ethiopian refugees. The slight increase in the total number is due to a small influx of Sudanese refugees [UNHCR 31/05/96].

There are no recent nutritional survey data on the Somali refugees in Kenya. However, fortified blended foods are still absent from the general ration and as there have frequently been reports of scurvy amongst this population, especially in the August-October period, there may be some cause for concern that case of scurvy re-appear [UNHCR 11/06/96]

There has recently been a security incident at Kakuma camp (for Sudanese refugees) where two food distribution centres were destroyed. These were erected in order to facilitate a move away from general ration distributions through group elders to distributions to heads of families [WFP 19/04/96].

Micronutrient fortified blended foods have not been included in the general ration. Since there have often been reports of scurvy among this population, especially in August-October, the lack of fortified blended foods is causing concern [UNHCR 11/06/96].

Overall, the refugees in Kenya are not currently thought to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1).

How could external agencies help? Efforts should be made to reintroduce micronutrient fortified blended foods into the ration to avoid possible cases of scurvy in the August-October period, when outbreaks have occurred in the past. The need for such an initiative was also noted in the April RNIS report.

9. Liberia/Sierra Leone Region (see Map 9 a, b and Figure 3)

Liberia/Sierra Leone - Trend in numbers of refugees/displaced and proportion severely malnourished and at high risk (shaded area).

Recent violence in the Monrovia has led to large scale displacement within and from the capital to and serious disruption to relief and rehabilitation work throughout Liberia. In recent weeks most agency activity has been focused upon Monrovia. The current insecurity has meant that plans for voluntary repatriation of Liberian refugees have been put on hold. Recent attempts at political mediation have failed and the overall security situation is currently extremely fluid. In contrast, the security situation in Sierra Leone has improved in recent weeks. This has led to improved humanitarian agency access to populations resulting in signs of improving nutritional and health status amongst conflict affected populations.

Current estimates of the numbers of people affected in the region are summarised below:

Location

Apr 95

Jul 95

Oct 95

Dec 95

Feb 96

Apr 96

Jun 96

Liberia

1,900,000

1,900,000

1,900,000

1,900,000

1,800,000

1,800,000

1,800,000

Sierra Leone

500,000

730,000

730,000

730,000

730,000

756,000

756,000

Côte d'Ivoire

330,000

227,000

305,000

305,000

305,000

305,000

305,000

Guinea

603,000

578,000

536,000

605,000

605,000

536,000

536,000

TOTAL

3,333,000

3,435,000

3,471,000

3,540,000

3,440,000

3,397,000

3,397,000


Liberia Although there had been considerable progress towards enduring peace since the signing of the Abuja peace accords in August 1995, eruption of fighting between the NPLF and ULIMO-Krahn on April 6th in Monrovia has placed the whole peace process in jeopardy. Within a few days, many areas of the city had been looted and thousands of inhabitants had been displaced. Most humanitarian operations ceased and comprehensive assessment of needs has still not been possible. Factional fighting spread up-country to Bong Mines and Greenville. Most expatriate agency staff were evacuated from Monrovia and the majority of UN and NGO offices were completely devastated making rapid resumption of relief activities throughout the country problematic [WFP 19/04/96].

By the end of May the security situation had improved, and ECOMOG troops had been redeployed in Monrovia. Simultaneously, cross-border deliveries of food from Cote d'Ivoire into Nimba and Bong counties began, and shipments of humanitarian aid by land and sea have commenced out of Monrovia. However, 12 NGOs have adopted a common position on scaling down relief activities in the country due to widespread looting of property and abuse of humanitarian principles. As a result, the NGOs decided that the resumption of full activities is not possible and instead will only undertake targeted and life saving interventions [WFP 14/06/96]. There are approximately 1.8 million people in Liberia in need of humanitarian assistance [WFP 19/04/96, WFP 31/05/96, USAID 11, 12, 16, 24/05/96].

Fighting had displaced at least 80,000 people within the capital with an estimated 20,000 in Greystone compound in the US embassy. The health status of this over-crowded population has been extremely worrying with reports of diarrhoea, and measles. Concerted efforts have now been taken to improve water availability and sanitation in this compound. The situation for the displaced in Barclays Training Centre (BTC) in Monrovia has also been critical particularly with regard to water, health and sanitation. Both Greystone and BTC have periodically been cut off from outside agency assistance during April and May as lulls in fighting have given way to major skirmishes in nearby areas. New checkpoints manned by NPLF and ULIMO-K fighters have also made the city centre and Greystone camp periodically inaccessible to WFP food relief convoys. Large numbers of displaced have sought refuge in Bushroad Island [WFP 10/05/96] while others are reported to have fled to Kakata, Toteta, Ganta and Gbarnge [USAID 16/05/96, 21/05/96, WFP 10/05/96, 17/05/96].

In Monrovia, water and food provision are now the main concern. Some mini-markets are appearing although food prices are up to four times normal. It is hoped that food distributions for an indicative target of 692,000 will continue on a temporary and contingent basis until order is re-established [WFP 26/04/96]. Cholera outbreaks continue to be reported in the capital while the incidence of measles is another concern [USAID 24/04/96, 7, 8/05/96].

ECOMOG troops have withdrawn from bases in Bo Waterside and Tiene in Cape Mount county where 29,000 and 70,000 internally displaced people were sheltered. Lack of ECOMOG presence in the county will make it extremely difficult to bring relief assistance as civilians are being directly targeted by the warring factions. Cross-border food convoys have now resumed from Cote d'Ivoire to Nimba and Bong country and the government is now urging a shift in focus of relief from Monrovia to rural areas [DHA 14/05/96].

The improved security situation is allowing for some assessment of the nutritional situation of those who have been isolated for many weeks or months. A serious deterioration of the nutritional situation is reported in Tubmanberg, where over 50,000 people last received food aid in January 1996. There are reports of up to ten people a day dying of starvation and disease [WFP 07/06/96]. There have also been reports that some of the population in Lofa country is in urgent need of food aid [DHA 09/06/96]

An unconfirmed number of Sierra Leonean refugees in the Cape Mount area have spontaneously repatriated. There are reports of an estimated 5,000 Liberians having fled by boat to neighbouring countries with an unknown number fleeing to Sierra Leone over land [DHA 14/05/96, UNHCR 24/05/96].

Sierra Leone A cease fire announced just after the election of the new president is generally holding although some serious breaches in security have taken place such as the rebel attacks on villages in Bo district where over 100 civilians were killed in the first week of May [WFP 17/05/96]. The recent peace talks have made considerable progress but there still remain contentious issues that are stalling the move towards enduring peace [WFP 14/06/96]

It is currently estimated that there are 1.6 million internally displaced people in Sierra Leone, 756,000 of whom require emergency food aid assistance. The remaining approximately 800,000 people (not included in Table 1) are thought to be either living among local communities or with relatives and able to procure their own food [UN Mar 1996].

The generally improved security is allowing for greater effectiveness of humanitarian work. The main highways to Segbwema, Bo, Kenema and Makeni are now open and food is being delivered to up country. Affected populations in Segbwema and Zimmi had not received relief food for several months due to insecurity but distribution was planned to begin in May [WFP 19/04/96]. Nutritional surveys in Kenema town and the RTI camp (included in RNIS #15) showed improvement in nutritional status. As in Bo and Western area camps, resumption of general food distributions and NGO selective feeding programmes using WFP airlifted food are considered to be a contributing factor [WFP 17/05/96].

A survey carried out in the Bonthe Islands (estimated population 14,000) showed 5.6% wasting and/or oedema with 0.6% severe wasting and/or oedema (see Annex I (9a)). This compares favourably with a survey carried out in October 1995 when levels of wasting and/or oedema were measured at 13%. It is reported that many of the displaced people have returned to the mainland, and their nutritional status is not known. Measles immunisation coverage was estimated at 22.8% [MSF-B Mar 96].

The cease fire is also allowing for the return of some internally displaced people to their homes. Up to 85% of the residents of the RTI camp in Makeni have returned and significant numbers of people have reportedly returned to districts in Bo [DHA 18/04/96]. There are still areas, such as Kono district, where food security is believed to very poor and malnutrition is reported to be widespread [DHA 03/06/96].

Côte d'Ivoire There are approximately 305,000 Liberian refugees in Cote d'Ivoire, whose nutritional status is reportedly adequate and stable. The recent fighting in Liberia has not reportedly led to any large-scale influx of refugees [UNHCR 24/05/96].

Guinea There are approximately 605,000 Liberian and Sierra Leonean refugees in Guinea of whom 536,000 receive food aid. There are no reports of change to their adequate and stable nutritional situation. The recent fighting in Liberia has not reportedly led to any large-scale influx of refugees [UNHCR 24/05/96].

Overall, those in Liberia living outside of Monrovia are likely to be at high nutritional risk (category IIa in Table 1) since many areas have now been cut off from humanitarian aid for several weeks and lack of protection for agencies is preventing improved delivery of relief items. Although, some cross-border deliveries from Cote d'Ivoire are occurring, the decision of many NGOs to stream-line activities to a minimum as a result of looting and lack of respect for humanitarian principles may also have serious repercussions for the food security of populations affected by the conflict outside of Monrovia. The affected population in Monrovia can be considered to be at moderate risk (Category IIb in Table 1), as the situation is apparently coming under control. Those requiring emergency food aid in Sierra Leone can be considered to be at moderate risk (category IIb in Table 1) due to continued sporadic insecurity. The refugees in Cote d'Ivoire and Guinea are probably not at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1).

How could external agencies help? As attention of the humanitarian agencies has shifted to Monrovia in recent weeks, there is little information on the needs of populations outside of the capital. It is, however, clear that actions similar to those identified in the April RNIS (strengthening nutritional surveillance capacity for newly accessible areas and an extension of measles immunisation coverage in selected areas) have been precluded. When agencies are able to re-establish their operational bases within Liberia, large scale humanitarian needs may become apparent. At that point, agencies may need substantial additional resources for widespread needs assessments and the provision of humanitarian relief items. As NGO rehabilitation activities are being scaled down due to insecurity, nutrition and health risks may increase; every means of protecting and supporting NGO activities should therefore be considered.

With continuing insecurity in Monrovia, adequate supplies of clean water, food and medical care, especially cholera and measles prevention, are urgently required, notably for the 80,000 or so people in Greystone compound and the Barclay Training Centre.

Based on a recently launched UN consolidated appeal, the last RNIS report highlighted certain necessary activities in Sierra Leone, including the possible expansion of selective feeding programmes, and investment in rebuilding and extending health, sanitation and water infrastructure in the country. To date, the response to the appeal has been minimal; for example only 5% of the food needs projected by WFP have been pledged. If this situation persists, delays in programme implementation will be encountered.

Other specific needs in Sierra Leone include an immunisation campaign in the Bonthe Island area, and an assessment of the nutritional status of those populations who have recently returned home.

10. Mauritanian Refugees in Senegal (see Map 3)

There was a final food distribution to the approximately 52,000 Mauritanian refugees in Senegal in December 1995. This population is now considered to be self-sufficient and will no longer receive assistance. These refugees are longer included in Table 1.

11. Mozambique Region (see Map 11 and Figure 3)

Mozambique - Trend in numbers of returnees and demobilised soldiers.

In view of the considerable increase in food production in most areas, emergency food requirements are estimated to be substantially less than last year. It is anticipated that the emergency relief operation in Mozambique will begin to be scaled down, and an average of 154,000 returnees and drought affected people will be targeted for food aid over the next year (May 96/Apr 97) in Mozambique [FAO 31/05/96].

With some notable exceptions, the nutrition situation in the country is generally adequate. Initial estimates for the main grain harvest indicate excellent production in the north and centre of the country while bumper crops in neighbouring countries will also help to ensure lower prices for any imported grain [FAO 31/05/96, MSF-CIS Feb 96].

However, principally due to flooding at the confluence of the Limpopo river early in 1996, conditions have deteriorated in the province of Gaza. As a result of the floods, emergency distributions were cut off to the district of Chigubo where virtually 100% of the population is dependent on food aid, so that many people had to resort to gathering wild foods. Similar, though less grave, conditions were developing in Guro (Manica). Up to 38,000 persons were displaced in February 1996 in three districts, where the flooding was most severe, and sanitation conditions of the displaced were reportedly very poor [MSF-CIS Feb 96].

In some areas of Mozambique health indicators have begun to show worrying trends. In nearly all coastal districts as well as some interior areas, malaria is reported even more prevalent than usual. Also, high rates of diarrhoea are reported in Gaza province due to contaminated water supplies as a result of the floods [MSF-CIS Feb 96].

A survey conducted in February in Memba district (Nampula province) found 13.2% wasting with 3.0% severe wasting (see Annex I (11a)). This high prevalence seems to be related to poor sanitary conditions and in particular widespread measles, lack of health care and low income earning opportunities. Poor nutritional status has also been reported in many districts of Tete province. A nutritional survey in January showed 11 % wasting with 2.3% severe wasting (see Annex I (11b)) in Chiuta district [MSF-CIS Feb 96].

The number of cases of pellagra reported in Mutarara district has dropped considerably. This is thought to be due in part to the rainy season. The long-awaited micro-nutrient enriched corn soy blend now being distributed through hospitals, nutrition centres and to food aid beneficiaries is likely to have contributed to this improvement [MSF-CIS 27/05/96].

Overall, those requiring emergency assistance in Mozambique are not currently considered to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1), although some areas show slightly worrying levels of wasting and should be closely monitored.

How could external agencies help? There are three main types of programmes that currently need instigating or strengthening within Mozambique:

· supporting those communities adversely affected by recent flooding by providing general rations and seeds (where crops have been lost) and restoring safe water supplies;

· strengthening health service provision, particularly for malaria control in coastal zones, and immunisation campaigns where vulnerability to measles outbreaks are likely to be greatest;

· strengthening logistic capacity in areas where poor roads and lack of transport and storage capacity have undermined the general ration distribution programme, e.g. several districts in Gaza province.

Distribution of enriched CSB has now been accomplished (after the resolution of administrative problems), contributing to the successful control of pellagra.

12. Somalia (see Map 12 and Figure 3)

Somalia - Trend in numbers of returnees and internally displaced with proportion severely malnourished or at high nutritional risk in shaded area.

An estimated 840,000 people in Somalia are currently receiving emergency food aid. This number is comprised of approximately 600,000 returnees and 240,000 internally displaced people.

Since the withdrawal of UNOSOM forces was completed in March 1995 the worst fighting has been in Mogadishu, Baidoa and Kismayo. A recent example is heavy inter-factional fighting which erupted again in early April in South Mogadishu, An estimated 140 people had been killed and 650 injured by the end of the month. The conflict affected humanitarian operations in the south of the city with some agencies relocating to the north. The situation in Baidoa is also described as very tense [USAID 09/04/96, DHA 22/04/96, 03/05/96].

The recent rise in insecurity due to factional fighting in conjunction with port closures is adversely affecting the ability of already vulnerable groups, particularly internally displaced people, to purchase food. There are currently 54,000 internally displaced people living in 109 camps in Mogadishu. To offset a rise in food insecurity WFP continues to deliver food aid through alternative ports in Mogadishu since the main port has been closed for the sixth month in a row. The monsoon season from May to June is expected to drastically reduce the ability to deliver food, thereby having a marked effect on food prices and supplies for southern Somalia. Agencies are currently providing supplementary feeding for 17,000 malnourished children in the capital [USAID 09/04/96].

The 20,000 people displaced following a September 1995 invasion of Baidoa by General Aideed and the ensuing insecurity, resulted in an estimated 67% reduction in food production from pre-war levels. Most economic activity has ceased and there is reportedly no sorghum in markets in the Bay region. A further 2,000 people have recently been displaced to Beletweyne due to fighting in the Bay and Bakool regions [DHA 22/04/96, 03/05/96].

There are reports that the Kismayo food supply situation continues to be erratic with transportation of foods often interrupted by insecurity [DHA 22/04/96].

Rainfall is reported to be sporadic and localised and as of mid- April a cereal supply gap in the range of 74,000 mt is predicted. This most likely to began affecting the poorest populations in May. Crop failure is already being reported in the Lower and Middle Juba regions of Somalia and there have already been reports of significant movements of reportedly malnourished people toward Kismayo. An inter-agency food security task force has prepared a plan of action to urgently respond to this situation and to prevent IDP movements to urban centres and refugee outflows to Kenya [DHA 06/06/96]. One of the major constraints in delivering assistance to this area continues to be logistics. A combination of poor roads and insecurity make it very difficult to move food and other items outside of Kismayo town to needy families in the valley [DHA 22/05/96]. Returnees from Kenya are affected by this third crop failure and it is feared that this may lead to further population displacements [WFP 24/05/96]. Recent press reports speak of several thousand women and children moving into Kismayo, some severely malnourished and prospects of famine in the Juba Valley if the forthcoming harvest fails and fighting continues [IHT 20/06/96].

Levels of cholera are on the decline nationally although in some areas, such as Kismayo, cases continue to be reported. There have been over 9,000 suspected cases since the outbreak began early in the year. Case fatality rates are still considered to be high in some areas. It is reported that there are now adequate medical supplies in Somalia to treat the anticipated case load [DHA 22/04/96, 3/05/96, MSF-B 08/05/96].

Overall, the affected population in Somalia can be considered to be at moderate nutritional risk (category IIb in Table 2) due to continued insecurity and crop failures in the Juba valley. There are likely to be people at high nutritional risk, but numbers are not yet available.

How could external agencies help? As food price rises associated with the monsoon season begin to take effect, populations in Mogadishu, Baidoa, Kismayo, Bardera, and the Lower and Middle Juba areas, already vulnerable from the effects of insecurity, will come under increasing stress. Where possible, expanded food for work and income generating projects should be supported in these areas in order to improve the food security of vulnerable groups. There may also be a need to expand selective feeding programme capacity in these areas. Such initiatives may be required particularly urgently in the Juba valley where the current food shortage is leading to widespread displacement and may eventually lead to the creation of a new refugee influx into Kenya. Recent returnees from Kenya will also need monitoring and may require extra support.

Efforts to improve the quality of water supplies in areas such as Bardera should be supported.

Attempts to improve the treatment of cholera patients should be targeted at those health centres and hospitals where case fatality rates are known to be high. Drug supplies for treating cholera were earlier in short supply (April RNIS), however, adequate supplies are now reported to treat the anticipated number of cases.

13. Sudan (see Map 13 and Figure 3)

Sudan

The total number of refugees, internally displaced and war affected people in Sudan requiring emergency assistance is estimated to be just over 2.1 million. This number is comprised of 1.7 million displaced and/or war affected people in southern Sudan, 154,000 people in the transitional zone, 119,000 displaced people in camps around Khartoum and approximately 150,000 Ethiopian and Eritrean refugees.

The current health status of the displaced in greater Khartoum is said to be very poor. A major cause of mortality is malnutrition with excessive rates reported among all displaced communities. Other main causes of death are diarrhoea, lower respiratory tract infection and malaria. The displaced camps are significantly more affected than the squatter areas and resettlement areas and have under five mortality rates of over 4/10,000/day (13x normal). An historical review of nutritional survey data since 1988 shows a very clear deteriorating trend in nutritional status in the displaced camps over the years. The most recent survey in September 1995 found wasting levels of 21% although it should be noted that seasonal factors have always led to higher wasting levels in September and lower levels in March [MSF-H 05/05/96].

In general, the deteriorating health and nutritional situation amongst the displaced is largely attributed to increased poverty resulting in reduced access to food. Likely causes are frequent dis-possession as a result of camp demolitions and relocations and camps being moved further away from income earning opportunities and relocated where minimal services are provided. Provision of water and sanitation, food, selective feeding and curative health care has been increasingly poor. Co-ordination of health services between NGOs is also recognised to be limited [MSF-H 05/05/96].

In spite of the official cease-fire between concerning Southern Sudan, the security situation has remained quite volatile for most of April and May in many areas, especially northern Bahr el Ghazal and Jonglei/Upper Nile. Many incidents have hampered Operation Lifeline Sudan (OLS) relief work [OLS Mar 96].

The most recent nutritional surveys show a variable situation depending on location.

A nutritional survey in six villages of the Attar region (Upper Nile/Jonglei) found levels of 25.6% wasting with 5.8% severe wasting (see Annex I (13a)). Most of the 1995 harvest was reportedly lost due to flooding and household food stores are low. Most people were surviving on wild foods, and it was reported that fishing equipment was in short supply. Measles immunisation coverage was reportedly low [MEDAIR Mar 96].

A survey in Mangalatore camp for internally displaced people showed wasting at 16% with 1.8% severe wasting (using MUAC). No cases of oedema were seen (see Annex I (13b)). Food distributions have regularly supplied a 50% ration and the situation was not considered to be worrying providing food rations can be maintained. [MSF-H Mar 96].

An outbreak of diarrhoeal diseases has been reported in large pans of Jonglei and Northern Bahr el Ghazal and in June there were reports that a cholera epidemic had killed at least 700 people in the last 7 weeks [OLS May 96].

As part of OLS, agencies have continued to target food aid to displaced populations and those requiring support for agricultural activities [OLS Mar 96]. However, WFP operations in southern Sudan face critical food shortfalls from June. Contributions are also urgently required to cover transportation and monitoring costs associated with carry-over stocks. Operations from Lokichokio remain severely curtailed due to restricted access and continued lack of clearance by the Sudanese government for major airlift/airdrop operations using C-130 aircraft which have been banned since mid-1995. Use of other aircraft during the hungry months from June to August would prove less efficient and much more expensive [WFP 17/05/96, USAID 10/06/96].

Preliminary results from a census conducted in most Eastern refugee camps in April 1996 show that there are 15,000 assisted Ethiopian refugees and 133,000 assisted Eritrean refugees. There are a further 270,000 unassisted refugees. There are also 4,400 assisted Chadian refugees in western Sudan. There are no new nutritional data on these refugee populations; the most recent survey information showed a situation that varied considerably between camps with wasting rates ranging from 7-15% [UNHCR 01/05/96].

The repatriation of Ethiopian refugees in ongoing. Organised repatriation of Eritrean refugees is not yet underway, but spontaneous repatriation is reportedly occurring [UNHCR 23/05/96].

Overall, the displaced population around Khartoum is in category I in Table 1 due to vitamin A deficiency and sharply elevated mortality rates. The affected population in Southern Sudan and the transitional zone can be considered to be at moderate nutritional risk (category IIb in Table 1), although there are areas of high risk (i.e. Attar) where population numbers are not currently available. The refugee population is not currently considered to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1).

How could external agencies help? There are several ways in which the nutrition and health status of the displaced population around Khartoum could be improved. These include:

· increased use of medical and nutritional data for external advocacy purposes, and also to support co-ordinated lobbying activities for more resources for relief purposes;

· increased co-ordination of activities between different NGOs;

· critically monitoring feeding programme capacity of responsible agencies in displaced camps in order to improve programme performance;

· implementing seasonal feeding programmes to address periodically high levels of wasting and vitamin A deficiency.

The need for new food aid pledges for southern Sudan in 1996 (first noted in the April RNIS report) still remain unmet. There is also an urgent need for increased cash contributions for transportation and monitoring for Operation Lifeline Sudan. Right clearances and lack of aircraft for transporting food aid remain constraints on programmes. There has not been any improvement in this situation.

More specifically, in the Attar region, selective feeding programmes are needed for malnourished children. Measles immunisation should be a priority before the wet season begins. There should also be a review to determine whether increased general ration levels are needed for this population.

14. Uganda (see Map 14)

The total estimated number of refugees in Uganda has remained constant over the last two months at 226,300. This number is broken down by country of origin as follows:

Origin

Apr 95

Jul 95

Oct 95

Dec 95

Feb 96

Apr 96

Jun 96

Sudanese Refugees

310,000

322,000

324,000

217,000

210,000

214,000

214,000

Zairian Refugees

13,000

13,400

13,700

11,800

12,300

12,300

12,300

TOTAL*

323,000

335,400

337,400

228,800

222,300

226,300

226,300

*Rwandan refugees in Uganda are included in section #4.
The security situation in northern Uganda remains precarious. This is periodically hindering the transport of food, particularly cereals which are the bulkiest items, so that when security permits, as much as possible is transported to create a small reserve. This insecurity is also slowing the transfer of refugees from the more crowded areas of Koboko and Adjumani [UNHCR 23/05/96].

Information from the Koboko refugee camps suggest that the disruptions due to insecurity are not having an adverse impact on health status of the population. Crude mortality rates continue to show a slight improvement which began in December last year and in March 1996 were 0.21/10,000/day (slightly below a normal rate). Similarly, the under-five mortality rate continue to improve and was 0.75/10,000/day in March (see Annex I (14a)) [MSF-H Mar 96].

Overall, the refugees in Uganda are not currently considered to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1) as there are no indications that periodic problems with food deliveries due to insecurity are adversely affecting these refugees.

15. Zaire (see Map 15)

Refugees in Zaire (excluding Rwandans and Burundis included in section #4) There are an estimated 50,000 Angolan refugees in Zaire; an estimated further 119,000 are unassisted (and not included in Tables 1 and 2). It is hoped that most of the unassisted population will spontaneously return to Angola now that the situation has improved there. Organised repatriation for the 50,000 assisted refugees is scheduled to begin by mid 1996 [UNHCR 17/01/96, 1995-1997].

There are approximately 94,000 Sudanese refugees receiving some assistance in Zaire. The slight increase is due to a small number of new arrivals fleeing the continued insecurity in southern Sudan [UNHCR 17/01/96].

There are over 12,000 Ugandan refugees and a further 6,000 new arrivals whose refugee status unclear [UNHCR 17/01/96].

Displaced from Shaba, Zaire There are approximately 600,000 people who have been displaced by ethnic violence which erupted in the Shaba region at the end of 1992. This population fled north into the Kasai region where many had ancestral links. During the migration large numbers stopped temporarily in villages along the route north, while others settled permanently at these sites.

Currently, there is little further displacement from the Shaba region and based on the most recent set of nutritional survey information, it is believed that many of these people are self-sufficient and no longer require humanitarian aid. The exception to this was in Mwene Ditu where critically high levels of wasting of about 43% in the displaced population, estimated at 40,000 people, and 17% wasting in the local affected population (estimated at 220,000) are reported [MSF-B 09/04/96 - from RNIS #15].

Overall, the displaced and resident affected populations in Mwene Ditu are in category I in Table 1 due to elevated levels of wasting. The remaining displaced population from Shaba is no longer considered to require assistance and so is not included in Table 1. The refugees are not currently considered to be at heightened nutritional risk (category IIc in Table 1).

How could external agencies help? In Mwene Ditu, financial support to continue the functioning of feeding centres is a main priority.

16. Zambia

Organised repatriation of the approximately 26,000 assisted Angolan refugees in Zambia is scheduled to begin in 1996 and will be completed over a fourteen month period. Before departure refugees will undergo health and nutrition screening and be given updated health cards while children under five will be vaccinated. There are a further 70,000 unassisted refugees who have been considered self-sufficient for a long time, and are expected to repatriate without assistance [UNHCR Jun 95-Dec 97].


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